Employment Hero Data Reveals Two-Speed Economy: Ongoing ‘Wageflation’ and Shrinking Hours

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- Employment Hero’s August SmartMatch Employment Report reveals striking 6.2% moving average yearly wage growth across Australia, while median hours worked fell 2.4% month-on-month, signalling productivity challenges and early signs of ‘labour hoarding’
- Wage growth is significantly higher than the 4.1% reported by the ABS WPI in June, suggesting a hotter-than-reported jobs market contributing to sticky inflation
- ACT leads wage growth at 6.9%, while South Australia trails at 2.6%, revealing significant regional disparities and uneven economic growth across the nation
- Over the past year, employment growth among SMEs in WA and QLD have led the nation at 7.2% and 5.3% indicating Aussies are still moving to industrial hubs for work.
Wageflation sparking productivity concerns and “labour hoarding”
While wage growth is generally positive, the reduction in hours worked raises red flags. Businesses are grappling with balancing rising wages against declining productivity, with last quarter’s GDP indicating productivity per hour dropped 0.8% while the average unit cost of labour increased by 1.3%. As the RBA pointed out in recent commentary, inflationary pressures continue to build as the job market remains strong, despite the cutback in hours. This dynamic is contributing to “wageflation”, where wage increases outstrip economic output, adding fuel to inflation without corresponding productivity gains. Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are bearing the brunt of rising wages, lopping employee hours despite the additional strain on their operations. This behaviour is an indicator of “labour hoarding” where businesses are desperately trying to retain staff in anticipation of future labour shortages and the sting of the cost of recruitment.Regional and sectoral disparities: Australia’s two-speed economy
Australia’s recovery remains uneven across regions and sectors. The ACT led the nation with wage growth of 6.9%, while South Australia lagged behind at 2.6%, illustrating the stark contrasts in economic performance. Meanwhile, sectors like Construction & Trade Services saw significant wage increases of 9.8%, while Healthcare & Community Services lagged at 3.7%, highlighting disparities in wage growth across industries. Annual employment growth continues to remain the highest in WA at 7.2% and QLD at 5.3%, indicating Australians are still migrating to industrial hotspots to find jobs, and increase their earning potential. Median hourly rates in these regions are growing annually at 3.1% and 5.0% respectively, with the median hourly rate in Construction & Trade Services sitting at $50.50 and Manufacturing, Transport & Logistics at $40.40.State Breakdown – Median Hourly Rates
| State | Median Hourly Rate | MoM Change | QoQ Change | YoY Change |
| ACT | $43.40 | -0.2% | +1.8% | +6.9% |
| NSW | $43.30 | +0.1% | +2.9% | +4.9% |
| NT | $42.10 | +4.0% | +4.3% | -0.2% |
| QLD | $41.70 | +0.6% | +3.1% | +5.0% |
| SA | $39.30 | -0.3% | +3.7% | +2.6% |
| TAS | $35.90 | -1.0% | +2.0% | +3.5% |
| VIC | $41.40 | +0.4% | +2.3% | +4.4% |
| WA | $40.70 | +0.2% | +1.2% | +3.1% |
Industry Breakdown – Employee growth
| Industry | MoM Change | QoQ Change | YoY Change |
| Construction & Trade Services | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% |
| Healthcare & Community Services | 0.1% | 0.5% | 6.8% |
| Manufacturing, Transport & Logistics | 0.3% | 1.4% | 3.6% |
| Retail, Hospitality & Tourism | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% |
| Science & Technology | -0.3% | 1.2% | 2.7% |
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